speculate at Stock Research

Now I am trying to choose the market where I can try to speculate. I ask all my friends and many of them advise me to try to speculate at FOREX. Here I write the summarizing of all advices about the trade at FOREX.
You should be morally ready to probable losses of committed finances. All participants in gamble in market FOREX are divided on two big groups depending on that approach to FOREX which they profess.
 The first group - the people wishing fast to take the maximum profit on committed finances without essential time temporary, intellectual both financial expenses, and evaluating FOREX as something similar to game in a roulette in a casino.
The second group - the people suitable to FOREX as to the serious financial market, deeply studying the theory and ready to spend is a lot of time and efforts to learn correct work in this market, and with the course of time to start to earn essential and, the most important, stable profit. Thus it is necessary to understand that FOREX in this sense it is very flexible and gives a field of action both for those, and for others. The spectrum of probable results is very great. At successful coincidence of circumstances it is possible, not possessing even elements of the market to double an ownership capital for 1 day. On the other hand, for large financial institutions in the West comprehensible yield in this market is the level of 20-60% per annum on the invested capital. These are two poles in possible strategy in this market. The game approach allows earning fast lump sum, but sustains risk of instant loss of all funds and has no long prospect. The market approach allows earning at the certain persistence decent money with limited enough risks. And before entering the market you for it should define, to what of poles you will be closer during the work.
Define in advance, that you wish to receive from the market, for what term, with what expenses and risks. Depending on the selected strategy of game on FOREX you should define for yourselves that time with which you are ready to allocate for studying market FOREX. At desire quickly to earn it is enough to study one book in the size in 200-300 pages, containing substantive provisions and concepts of market FOREX, and to start the beginning of operations. Thus the probability of a prize will change about 50% and to tend to downturn at increase in quantity of operations. More serious approach demands initially studying of a maximum quantity of an available information for full understanding of all bases of the market, available tools and methods of the analysis and forecasting of the market which can raise quality of your trade. Unnecessarily in the trade to use all existing ways and methods of forecasting and the analysis, but their knowledge and skill to apply them will allow to develop as much as possible effective system of the trades without which successful long trade is simply impossible.
Find the greatest possible quantity of time for studying the theory before the beginning of practice. It is necessary to find also in the life any part of time directly for participation during trade. Quantity of spent time for acquaintance with the current information, forecasting of the market, the analysis of own results more often in direct ratio received profit. Rash operations seldom enough lead to notable positive results. And even the earned profit at absence of the analysis and systematization in work is quickly lost in next transactions. Thus, all again depends on time.
The major stage before decision-making on the beginning of real game in market FOREX is definition of the size of money resources which you are ready to risk for reception of profit. Any speculative market, and market FOREX in particular, is interfaced to risk of loss of the committed finances. Therefore never put in game more money, than you are ready to lose. Possible losses (from which are not insured even professionals) should not become for you a financial trouble. Do not play on extra funds or for last means postponed for “rainy day”. Market FOREX far not that place where it is possible quickly and without problems to increase greatly a seed capital. It or risky game for the people possessing free money and ready is painless for them to lose, or long and laborious work on purchase of the skills capable in the future to bring the essential income on the invested capital. Therefore primary you should are morally ready to loss of means and to define that sum of funds which loss will be rather painless for your budget. Probably, it also will not occur, but to realize such opportunity better in advance, than to receive financial both psychological impact and feeling of desperation after already it is impossible to correct anything.
After you all the same have made a decision on test of the forces in market FOREX, the major stage becomes a choice of the partner or, easier speaking, the broker through whom will pass your operations. Even at brilliant possession of the theory and practice of the market the certain moments in activity of the intermediary between you and the market can reduce “on there is no” all your efforts and even to serve as the reason of losses. Therefore, before to begin trade, it is necessary to spend the certain efforts to a choice of the good partner. For this purpose it is necessary to collect more information on brokers working in the market, on their financial conditions and reputations. Various brokers offer commissions differing from each other, spreads, percent and the software for trade. The size of the commission, a spread, speed and convenience of the program, and also quality of the offered information on the market can render huge influence on an end result of your work. However, attractive financial conditions by all means should be combined with good reputation and long for works in the market. Otherwise even the earned funds can be for ever lost because of untidiness of the broker that is not for today such unusual occurrence.
At a choice of the broker, besides acquaintance with financial operating conditions, it is necessary to familiarize and test by all means the software which becomes the tool for execution of your will in the market. Different brokers offer their own programs written in different languages and possessing a different degree of speed, reliability, convenience and a various tooling of the analysis. Practically all intermediaries suggest to take advantage of their programs in a demonstration mode, and some people by means of them and to participate in free-of-charge competitions with monetary prize-winning fund. It is desirable to try for comparison some similar intermediaries on offered conditions. Necessarily spend not less than month for game in a demonstration mode, combining it with studying the theory of the market, testing the received knowledge in practice. It will allow you not only to check up quality and convenience of the software, but also you to check up more and more time necessity of the introduction into game on real money. Quality of work of the program and the personnel of the intermediary in a demonstration mode in many speaks about what quality can receive final service, having opened the real account. Constantly analyze results of own work and quality of service. A unique major condition in a demo-game is that with virtual money you should try to address also carefully as with real. Frequently game in a demonstration mode can force you not only replace the prospective intermediary, but also in general to make a decision on undesirability of your participation in game in the financial markets. Far not each person is capable to work successfully in the financial markets: the clear intellect is necessary for this purpose, endurance, skill to risk still more many other individual qualities.
During demonstration trade try to define precisely those tools and information sources which you will use at decision-making on fulfillment of transactions. Also, even prior to the beginning of real trade, it is necessary to define tactics of fulfillment of transactions. As you will often open positions, how much long you will hold the open positions in what the moments will make transactions, as well as in what size you will limit possible losses under the transaction, what part of the capital will use at fulfillment of each separate transaction - all is questions, answers on which will render very essential influence on end results. Besides allocate from huge weight of sources of the information and indicators of the market for itself what, in your opinion, are reliable and correspond to chosen tactics. In language of professionals it refers to as development of own trading system. In fulfillment of financial operations the order and complexity is necessary. The intuition and feeling of the market, undoubtedly, are an important point in decision-making, but they should not be principal causes for fulfillment of the transaction at all. Having developed the certain system of trade, it is necessary to recede from it only in the extreme cases. It is necessary to analyze constantly results of own system, to bring corrective amendments and constantly to improve it. Chaotic trade is a direct way to loss of the committed finances.
Starting real trade, it is necessary to understand firmly, that game in a demonstration mode or as speak, “on a paper” very essentially differs from real game on “real” money. The difference is comparable to sensations of the same sportsmen on training and in the world championship. At real game each movement of a rate is expressed in quite concrete sum of your means, and it puts huge psychological pressure upon the person. Even quite successful players at the slightest failure can lose a head and ability to sober thinking and the analysis. But also excessive euphoria from the received prize can play with you a malicious jest.
Develop own system of successful trade and strictly follow it. Having chosen trading strategy and tactics, having developed own trading system, do not wait, that 100% of transactions become profitable. Any professional makes both profitable and unprofitable transactions. It is important, that the quantity and total result of profitable transactions exceeded the same parameters unprofitable. The best professionals approximately only in 70% of cases reach positive result under the transaction. The profit earns during the long period of time at the cost of excess of the size of the total income over losses. Therefore the individual unprofitable transaction should not upset and unsettle you. You only should analyze closely the reasons which have led to losses and to improve own system of trade in due course to achieve stable growth of results.

Who speculates at the stock exchange? What does the person who earns money at the stock exchange look like? I have asked this question to my friends. Here is the generalized portrait of the average trader.
Speculation at a stock exchange seems simple business. But this simplicity is deceptive. Having succeeded firstly, the beginner already considers itself as the invincible expert, operates without control - and melted out.
To stock jobbing come different ways, sometimes they are logical, but more often - on the contrary. The stock exchange is a chance at one stroke to receive a great lot of money. And money for many is freedom though very few people know that with it to do further. Having mastered exchange business, you become independent: live, where you want, work, where it is pleasant and without chiefs. The market is a delightful intellectual employment - chess, poker and a crossword puzzle all at once.
Stock jobbing attracts courageous and frightens off those who prefers a titmouse in a hand. The inhabitant lives steadily: breakfast, work, a lunch break; in the evening - the house, a supper with a bottle of beer, the TV - and to sleep. It is possible to earn additionally and he entrusts money to the banker on the savings. And at the stockbroker any hour is working, and it subjects the capitals to risk. The stockbroker descends with well-trodden track of the present and goes in uncertainty of the future. Desire to realize itself completely, your abilities, is congenital and also it is inherent in much. It also pushes people to measure swords at a stock exchange. Besides, speculating, it is possible to receive both sports pleasure, and considerable profit.
Good stockbrokers are usually hardworking and sharp-witted. They respond to all new. It is strangely enough that their purpose is not money. Their purpose is able for speculating. Then also money will be - as by itself understood. Succeeding stockbrokers tirelessly perfect the skill. To reach personal perfection for them it is more important than any money.
Stockbrokers from among those who are out of tune with itself, quite often search in stock jobbing for an outlet for the inconsistent desires. But if you do not know, to what you aspire, it can turn out as in an introduction: shoot oneself in the foot.
The layman overestimating the force, trying to win, by all means, should go on the big risk. Means, at the slightest turns of a stock exchange against it will take off from speculation.
The succeeding stockbroker is the realist. It realizes, that has, and that not. It clearly sees, that occurs, and knows how to act otherwise. It soberly estimates an exchange situation and, constraining emotions, builds practicable plans. Illusions are not for the stockbroker-professional. The layman, having done some unsuccessful operations and having lost is a little money, panics. Its representations about a stock exchange become, the further, the more mutilate. At losers it is a lot of imaginations about the purchase, sale and a choice of transactions. They behave as children who are afraid to pass on a cemetery or to glance at night under a bed, because the eyes of fear see danger everywhere. The stock exchange with its uncertainty excites freak of the imagination. From the losers, suffering a myth about exchange knowledge, it is possible to hear: “I have lost, because did not know secrets of speculation”. Many losers think, as if to succeeding stockbrokers any special secrets are known. These people do not know that to play at a stock exchange not and it is odd. It is much more complex to delete, for example, an appendix, to build the bridge or to assort action of proceeding. Good stockbrokers usually people sharp, but all is far not - intellectuals. Many did not study in colleges, and the some people even have thrown school.
Stock jobbing often involves the succeeded businessmen and people of liberal professions. Here a portrait of the average client of broker firm: it is forty-year married the man with higher education. Many have also the firm.
So why do these people who have succeeded in the business lose at a stock exchange? The matter is that there the keystone to success is covered not in special knowledge, not in any secrets and, certainly, not in formation. For success in work at a stock exchange the clear practical mind, the certain share of boldness, constant self-checking and aspiration to self-improvement are simply necessary.
             I don’t answer to the description absolutely, but I would like to try to speculate at the stock market, and (I hope) I will succeed.

Investor… We use this word quite often. But what does it mean?..
Investors may be organizations or individuals. Organizations as institutional investors buy securities with their funds or funds held in trust for others. Major institutional investors are insur¬ance companies, pension funds and universities. Insurance com¬panies make their investments generate profits and funds for paying future insurance claims. A pension fund wants to make money on its investments so that it can pay off pensioners.
The other types of investors are individuals who trade secu¬rities for their own accounts. The majority of personal investors have rather small stock portfolios usually valued at less than $50,000. They often use these funds for major purchases such as a home, retirement income, or as a source of cash in case of emergency.
The objectives of investors can be identified in terms of speculation, growth, and income.
Some investors set an objective of achieving big payoffs. They engage in speculation, or assuming large risks in the hope of large returns. One of the ways to speculate is to buy “penny stock”. It is highly speculative stock that sells at less than $5. A $1 stock that is in high demand may rapidly run up to $3 thus tripling the initial investment. “Penny stock” is typically a share in new ventures.
More investors are interested in long-term growth in the value of their investment. They tend to prefer the so-called blue chip stocks of large, high quality companies such as IBM, General Motors, and American Express. The dividend for blue chip stocks is rather low because these firms reinvest much of their profits in research in order to remain competitive.
Some investors seek income. They are interested in a stock’s yield, which is the percentage return from stock dividends. Utility stocks provide the highest regular yields because they have minimal risk. The investors take risk only within certain limits. Common stock is less safe than preferred stock because preferred stock¬holders receive dividends before they are paid to the common stockholders. In the case of common stock, utilities are safer than high tech stock. The safest type of securities is government bond because the government backs it.

When I tried to find as many as possible advices of different traders I stumbled across the story of a trader. To my mind this story is the best illustration of that things or that behavior you and I shouldn’t repeat. As I have already said we MUST learn wisdom by the follies of others.
 Anyway… At that time (it was 1999) he had already trade a month (his initial capital was $10000). His results were quite impressive – 75%. All deals made a profit. If there was any unprofitable position he immediately closed it. He was too lazy to wait when they would become profitable. At that moment it turned up to him that “devilish” security with ticker tape KIDE. That day it had risen till $45. At the same time it had cost a week ago only $29. From personal experience he knew that in the near future prices had to fall. That’s why he opened a short position at $46. The security was cheap. He had about $17500х2=$35000 and sold 200 stocks.
 The price didn’t fall and quite the contrary rose till $50. Loss was 200х-5=-$1000. But the drop in prices was obvious. He sold in addition 200 stocks at the price of $50. In a few days the price was $63. He closed all other’s positions and sold another 200 stocks at the price of $61. He was sure that the price would begin to fall. And it really began…
 Before he had glance over the news about this company and knew why the rise of stocks took place. Famous Japanese corporation had agreed with KIDE that KIDE would be a distributor of licenses of this corporation for its invention POKEMON. The trader decided that this was a new computer knickknack, very useful, but not for a long time. And the fall of prices strengthened his confidence. But he was mistaken. After short-term fall till $55 the prices whirl upward till $70 and the next day till $80. He rushed to investigate what was the POKEMON and discovered that it wasn’t a computer knickknack it was a new-coined fictitious being. He understood about what licenses were said in news. The most powerful American industry went into the action. Manufacturers began to replicate actively this creature on T-shirts, badges, caps, etc… IT WAS A CATASTROPHE!!! Next day stocks rose till $90. His account was about ONLY $1000, his broker sent him margin calls one by another. The broker demanded extra money and threatened to squeeze.
My logic told to me that this marasmus wouldn’t continue for a long time. No earnings from sell of licenses were unable to justify such rise of stocks during the month for 300%! And he had only one hope that he wouldn’t squeeze until it came to the end. To find extra money was impossible. And where were guarantees, that the market wouldn’t eat up this extra money before began to correct. Really the stock-jobbing began to fall. The prices were about $70. But the market is inertial. The new wave of price rise began. And he was squeeze at the price of $88. His account was about $3000 and the broker allegedly did him a service, because the securities rose till $95. But from this point Stocks of KIDE began to fall. And after 3 weeks the price was already $45. And after month it was $20. He was right but he lost almost all his capital…
P.S. To restore his capital he needed 2 months, but he didn’t speculate with KIDE stocks.
To my mind this trader made several crucial mistakes:
• he hoped, but the market isn’t the place for hope;
• he was too greedy for money to stop when he had a chance not to lose.
I hope that I will never make the same mistakes!!!

To my mind, first of all I should gain an understanding of types of securities. As far as I know there are many types of securities. And how can I choose some of them with the highest expected return and liquidity and the lowest risks? I want understand why I should buy or sell exactly this or that type of security. So let’s try to investigate…
            In theory there are several groups of securities:

• Equity Securities;
  
• Fixed Income Securities;
  
•  Investment Funds;
  
• Units & Trusts;
  
• Options, Warrants & Rights;
  
• Futures Contracts.
  

So, equity securities: common shares, restricted voting shares, preferred shares, flow-through shares.
As far as I understand securities of this group have practically the same liquidity. As for expected return: the capital gains potential of common shares is usually higher than for preferred shares of the same company. And return on flow-through shares will depend on the potential tax benefits to the investor. Then risks… The most risky securities of this group are flow-through shares, if I’m not mistaken. But all risks of all of them are moderate to high. So among securities of this group I’ll choose common shares. To my mind the balance of return and risks is the best!
The second group: savings bonds, bonds, debentures, treasury bills (T-bills), Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs).

If I’m not mistaken investment of money in treasury bills is more profitable. Yes, among securities of this group I will choose exactly treasury bills.
            The third group and investments funds: shares or units of Mutual Funds, shares or units of Closed-End Investment Funds, units of Segregated Funds and shares of Labour-Sponsored Investment Funds.

Then go units and trusts: limited partnership units and trust units.

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